Wholesale fuel prices are rising. Is it time to fill up?
Since the start of June, wholesale unleaded prices have risen three pence per litre, while diesel has increased by over eight!
The majority of these increases have come since the 12th June, when Israel launched a series of strikes targeting Iran’s nuclear and military facilities. The conflict has seen oil prices rally, with Brent crude prices increasing from $62.50 per barrel at the start of the month to over $78.50 per barrel by Monday, 16th June.
Despite this increase, pump prices in the UK have remained relatively flat. Prices are broadly in line with the start of the month. However, momentum has now shifted, and we are seeing 10-12 times as many price increases as decreases.
With the rise in wholesale prices, the difference between wholesale and retail (pump price) has narrowed, putting upward pressure on pricing. Depending on replenishment deliveries, pricing methods and margin aspirations, these increases can affect different stations at different times.
We have already begun to see an increase in pricing spreads nationwide. This is the difference between retailers’ fuel prices. In times of significant price changes, it is common to see a larger difference between the prices stations are charging. It is therefore important to check prices not only in the PetrolPrices app but at the station, and if you see a price change, please submit it to the app. This helps our community of drivers stay informed.
Asda and Tesco have been leading the supermarkets in pricing this month, so a close eye should be kept on their approach. At present (18th June), both supermarkets have held prices for unleaded steady since the 12th June at 94% and 96.5% of their stores respectively.
In contrast, only 12% of Morrisons locations haven’t seen an increase in unleaded price. At the same time, Sainsbury’s has held prices at 84% of their stations.
If wholesale pricing holds or increases, it is difficult to see retailers maintaining prices at current levels. Diesel drivers are likely to be affected more than petrol drivers, but both can expect prices to climb higher soon.
Are you a business owner or buyer?
Anyone using a fuel card should pay close attention to their prices over the next few weeks. While wholesale prices continue to rise faster than retail prices, you can end up worse off. If your business purchases more than 4,000 litres of fuel per week on fuel cards, Portland Pricing can help you monitor your spend. Email [email protected] to find out more.








