Fuel price review 2018 and future trends 2019

PetrolPrices.com has a unique position in the petrol market, bridging the gap between you, our members, and the industry itself. While we never ask for change, we do believe in making sure that you are kept up to date with what’s happening in the industry.

In this article, we’ve covered everything that’s happened this year and looked forward to next year and what you can expect. We spoke to our Data Analyst, Ashley Beach to get his view on the past year, and then our content team researched into what the industry thinks about what will happen next year.

The past year

Ashley Beach, Data Analyst at PetrolPrices.com, said “As 2018 comes to an end it’s time to recap on the year of UK fuel prices. With December 2017 being the most expensive month of 2017, the UK was hoping for a decrease in fuel prices for the year ahead.

Unfortunately, prices continuously increased through January with a 1.1p per litre increase across all fuels by the end of the month, except for premium diesel that saw a rise of 1.6ppl. However, come February and supermarkets started the first price war of the year resulting in a 2ppl average price decrease across all fuels.

The hope for lower fuel prices ended when the constant prices through March started to increase through April. May was a crushing month for drivers when average fuel prices saw a rise of 6ppl, the most significant increase over a month in 18 years. The prices then dipped by the end of June, due to another supermarket price war and rumours that OPEC were going to lift restrictions on production.

Sadly, the price drop was not as extreme as expected and through the next few months prices rose above the previous high induced by the increases in May. Late October to early November saw average prices of diesel at their highest of the year, whereas for unleaded this was mid-October. Prices maxed at 131.7ppl, 137.1ppl, 144.6ppl and 150.5ppl for unleaded, diesel, super unleaded and premium diesel respectively.

Until mid-November, the average price of diesel stayed close to its maximum price of the year, while the average price of unleaded had decreased by 3.2ppl by mid-November, inducing a vast difference of 8ppl between the two. Through December this difference continued to increase to 9.8ppl. We hadn’t seen a difference between the average prices like this since January and February 2015.

The forecast for drivers in early 2019 looks hopeful from the continuous price decrease of all fuels since mid-November. Especially for unleaded drivers, since the rate it’s falling seems to be greater than diesel. Also, the average price of super unleaded has dropped to approximately a penny above regular diesel.”

Onto next year

Oil price is one of the main factors that affect the price of petrol and diesel, so it is only natural to mention some factors that will affect the market this year heading into next year.

Iran is the top concern for the industry, as the American waivers on the countries buying oil from Iran end in May 2019. In November this year, the first round of deadlines approached but America got worried and issued a new set of waivers in hopes to bring down the price of crude oil, after going on about the seriousness of reducing Iran’s oil output to zero. With there now being a supply surplus in America, it is likely that the Trump administration will be able to take a harder stance come May.

Libya is also a regular concern, having been a source of instability in the oil industry for years, they recently lost 400,000 barrels per day (bp/d) output due to militia action in Iran. With high goals to increase production in 2019, Libya could surprise the market either way with a high increase or decrease.

The USA proved to be a dark horse this year, with unprecedented growth from their shale production and surpassed all 2018 estimates, some by up to 1 million bp/d. However, the recent downturn in prices, financial stress and pipeline issues could eventually slow growth. A new pipeline in the second half of 2019 could help to meet targets for non-Opec oil.

OPEC+, the corporation of all the oil-producing countries, has also got a cut set in place to help reduce the current surplus. It is yet unknown whether this will happen by the mid-year meeting in Vienna, which may force OPEC to increase the cut until further on the year.

The possibility of economic downturn could also be an issue, slowing growth in China, contracting GDP in Europe, currency crises in emerging markets and financial volatility across the world. Uncertainty around Brexit, especially in European markets could also contribute as March hits.

With all of this said, the team at PetrolPrices wishes you a Happy New Year! We’ll continue to update you on what happens throughout the year. What do you think will happen in 2019 for petrol prices?

Is our future going to be electric?

Here at PetrolPrices our main focus is saving you money. We’re always looking forward in the industry and and from what we can see at the moment that seems to be electric cars, thanks to government pushes.

We wanted to get some numbers on the savings and benefits that you get from buying and owning an electric vehicle. That’s why we’ve heavily researched into electric vehicles, and the industries surrounding them to see what needs to change for government targets to happen. We haven’t just looked at power and the design itself, we’ve looked at insurance, repairs and more.

What we were looking for

This whole idea came about when Nick, one of our team, mentioned that his neighbour had got a Tesla Model S, but his insurance had gone from £500 to £3,000 overnight. While the car is an expensive car, something didn’t quite add up.

We realised that something in the insurance industry wasn’t right. Insurance companies hadn’t taken into account how much safer electric vehicles were compared to combustion engines, as their high torque (we’ll explain this later) allows them to manoeuvre around potential hazards quicker. We went around and got some insurance quotes for an average person, as well as repair costs, costs of filling up, longevity, second-hand value and so much more.

We’ve compiled all of these costs together to provide you with a comprehensive review of whether electric cars are worth the money at the moment for a standard motorist, and also analysed what needs to change in the industry to meet government targets by 2040.

Insurance costs

The first industry we looked at was the insurance industry. We asked GoCompare for quotes for an average person for a set of electric cars and for combustion cars, in all of these we’ve got the cheapest quote. We’ve chosen a set of 12 cars, with an electric vehicle pitted up against a combustion vehicle. The conditions set for the insurance are:

  • Social and single place of work
  • 8000 annual mileage
  • Drives in peak times
  • Same address
  • Employed
  • 43-year-old female
  • Clean licence
  • £500 excess
  • Non telematics policies
  • Kept on driveway

Here’s the cars and their quotes, listed with the provider as well

Electric Combustion
Nissan Leaf – £289.85 – LV Hyundai i30 – £202.24 – LV
BMW i3 – £339.21 – Hastings Direct BMW X2 – £315.60 – LV
KIA SOUL EV – £307.60 – LV Kia Soul – £274.60 – Hastings
Renault Zoe – £286.38 – LV Renault Clio – £206.13 – Hastings
Tesla Model X 90D – £1,583.68 – Admiral Audi Q5 – £373.43 – LV
Tesla Model S 100D – £1,824 –a choice Mercedes AMG E63S – £529.12 – LV

There’s a large discrepancy between the Kia Soul and the Kia Soul EV. Same size, same make of car only the Kia Soul insurance was £274.60, and the Kia Soul EV was £307.60. The cars are the same size and shape and the lower horsepower, and higher torque on the EV make it safer in real life as it has a smaller engine.

Even though it is an electric vehicle and therefore has more expensive parts to replace or maintain, the lower risk small engine size means that a considerable amount should have been knocked off the price. If there is an issue with the battery, then the warranty covers it for ten years or 100,000 miles, up to 70% degradation. The 70% degradation means that the warranty only covers the repairs if the battery capacity is less than 70%.

These quotes are all for cars of a similar technical spec regarding power and capability, even though one of the cars was combustion and the other electric.

Matt Oliver, spokesperson for GoCompare Car Insurance, said: “It’s easy to assume that electric cars are futuristic technology that’s simply unaffordable for the average household. It’s still early days for electric car technology, and you’ll find fewer car insurers offering cover on these vehicles. That’s why it’s so important to compare insurance premiums for electric cars so that you can find the best price possible, as fewer insurers covering electric vehicles, means less competition and higher premiums, so you might have to pay more than you would for a standard car.”

One thing that PetrolPrices wondered was due to the higher torque in electric vehicles, were insurance companies seeing the high numbers and placing a higher price. For those who don’t understand torque, the simplest way to explain it is the pull that you feel when you accelerate sharply on a car. For a more detailed explanation, have a look here.

The higher the torque, the quicker it is able to accelerate and therefore surely it would be quicker to maneuver out of harm’s way. Electric cars also have a much lower top speed, with most sitting around 80 mph meaning that the risks associated with higher speeds simply don’t happen in an electric vehicle. The list price of vehicles may be what is driving up these costs, but the massive difference in price between the Mercedes, which has a list price starting at £80,000 and the Tesla, which starts at £90,000 is larger than the price difference between the Kia Soul and the Kia Soul EV, which have a price difference of the same spread, £10,000.

The repair industry

One of our partners, WhoCanFixMyCar.com worked with us to help understand the electric car industry in terms of repairs. One interesting point that was picked up was that because the knowledge in the industry is unknown, the mechanical engineers within the industry are struggling to repair some electric cars as the whole structure of a combustion car is completely different to an electric vehicle.

Craig Stein the owner of Steins Garage, winner of the Best Garage in Scotland 2016 said “Car’s are developing quicker than some garages can keep up with and it will important that the right training is put in place over the next few years otherwise the price difference between fixing an electric car and a combustion engine car might actually put people off buying electric.”

There’s almost no knowledge of an approximate cost for any repair as one garage may have done a fix before, but most of the time due to the lack of training and knowledge there is a higher cost than anticipated due to the parts, the labour and also the time taken to look into the problem.

Al Mia, owner of Autowerke Garage, finalist in the Best Garage of London 2017, brought up a point about the Teslas: “The Tesla Model x 100D and Tesla Model S 100D spend much more time in the garage that most cars as the time it takes to get a new parts is longer than almost every other car model. This is because there are only a few distribution centres in the UK. Furthermore, if the part is not in stock, it will have to be ordered from the factory in California and flown to the UK, extending the delay further.” For combustion car parts, a simple trip to the local distributor solves all issues as most cars use similar parts, for example a BMW might use a Ford clutch, and a Renault could have a Citroen indicator.

With Tesla cars, all the parts are specially made for Teslas only, and while they are lovely, if not premium, it costs more to replace than a standard part. If something goes badly wrong with the battery, a specialist Tesla crew is sent out as the battery could potentially be too dangerous for a standard engineer to deal with. As seen above the insurance for a Tesla is pretty high, and this is probably one of the main factors of that.

Kyle Burke, owner of Eagle Autos, winner of the Best Garage in London 2017 said “There are a lot more electric cars on the road than there were only a couple of years ago which means we have had to adapt and learn about repairing new components. The way an electric car is put together is different from a combustion-engined car, which means some garages might charge significantly more money for labour as they need more time to figure out how to make the fix.”

Overall other experts in the repair industry have highlighted to us that the training and knowledge of electric car fixes is lacking and people are looking to encourage and expand their knowledge but with more and more car companies announcing new electric models and designs everyday the car manufacturers are striding ahead of the rest of the industry to try and validate themselves as being part of the ‘electric movement’ but sadly the repair industry is struggling to keep up.

Charging vs filling up

We’ve probably all seen charging pods popping up around us, from supermarkets to service stations, all the major players in the forecourt industry are hopping on the trend of EV charging points.

For this comparison, we chose to look at the cost per mile for charging a car vs the cost per mile for filling up a car with petrol. We chose a Renault Zoe vs a Renault Clio for this one and looked at the cost of charging at home per mile, the cost of charging publicly per mile and finally the cost per mile on petrol.

To charge the Renault Zoe at home to full charge overnight, the cost per mile is 4.2p compared to around 12p per mile on public chargers, according to data from WhatCar?. Taking a price of 121.3ppl, the cost to fill up would be 10.4p a mile for a Renault Clio. While you’re saving a considerably large amount for overnight charging for charging a Renault Zoe, if you need to fill up on the road it could be costing you a lot more.

With electric, the price shouldn’t change too much, and you can be fairly sure of a consistent price year round, but with petrol the price changes almost daily, and if the price of oil goes up then you can see the effect this has all around.

Another issue in this peripheral is the availability of electric chargers. With 9000 devices covering 5,500 spots, the availability of charging where you need it is not at its full potential yet. There are petrol stations spread across the length and breadth of the country but not yet for EV charging points.

Tax, grants and charges

When buying an electric vehicle, you can receive up to £3,500 off the retail price of a brand new car that is deducted automatically and requires no application. You can also receive a grant of up to 75% of the cost of installing a charging point in your home, and workplaces can also receive similar grants to install spots at work parking.

Electric vehicles are exempt from VED tax unless they have a list price of over £40,000 at which it is £310 a year for five years. After that, there is no more VED tax.

On the other hand, diesels that emit more CO2 are required to pay higher tax based on their emissions ratings. The Renault Clio, which has a CO2 emission of 160 CO2 g/km, first-year road tax is £160 for a single 12-month payment, and after that, it is £140 for a single 12-month payment.

So, is it worth it?

From everything we’ve looked at and analysed, as well as asking industry experts, we’ve found out a few things.

The car manufacturing industry is moving at a faster pace than the peripherals can keep up. The car service industry is struggling to understand all the new cars and parts are few and far between. Labour costs are more because the build of an EV is completely different to a combustion car.

Insurance premiums are higher because of the numbers associated with electric vehicles, yet the less risks associated with EV’s should be lower. Insurance companies should review their policies on insuring electric vehicles and see whether the industry is fair towards them.

Yet, despite all this, it seems that the attraction of electric has not decreased yet, people are still interested in the lower running costs and the lack of VED. If you have an electric car for 4 years your running costs will be lower, our example case of the Kia Soul EV was £2,062.40 for 4 years costs whereas the Kia Soul was £6,097.40. However taking into consideration the initial list price, the Kia Soul EV is £25,995 for the entry level model, with the Kia Soul priced at £14,525 for the same model spec as the EV. At the moment, combustion engines have a lower depreciation after 4 years, with the Kia Soul at 45% and the Kia Soul EV at 63%. These values are an approximate and are based on 2018 models, but even so the depreciation shows how much the value of electric cars go down.

Electric has a future, but whether it is affordable for most people in the present is not attainable at the moment. Even with all the government help and advice, the UK is simply not ready for electric vehicles. The infrastructure of millions of electric cars charging at the same time has the potential to push pressure onto the electricity generators which could very easily lead to a national crisis.

What needs to change is for electric cars to become cheaper initially but also for the longevity of them to be understood. Hyundai won’t give out the battery replacement cost because they believe their batteries will last forever. Most combustion cars last 16 years before they are scrapped, and while electric has not been around for long enough to give a fair judgement, it is forecast that they will be able to run for a lot longer.

What do you think about electric vehicles? Would you consider purchasing one after reading this article? Let us know in the comments below

Are supermarket fuels lower quality than branded fuels?

It’s a hotly debated topic, and the last time PetrolPrices did some simple desktop research around the issue, around 40% of drivers thought that supermarket fuel was an inferior product compared to branded fuels, some drivers even mentioning that they can feel a difference as soon as they fill up.

But is that really the case? Or is there an element of the placebo effect?

For clarity, we’re talking about the absolute standard fuel, no special blends or high octane ratings, no ‘super’ or ‘premium’ tags and no claims to special additives to cleanse, improve, repair or cure anything; standard unleaded or diesel fuel – generally the cheapest at the pump.

Engine efficiency

It’s long been known that car manufacturers were prone to being a little optimistic when it came to claims of fuel efficiency, power or emissions produced, but the reality is that a minor shift in environmental conditions could significantly change how an engine worked.

Air pressure, density, temperature and humidity can all play a part, and to counter those variables, a modern fuel-injection system uses a vast array of sensors to measure, check and adjust the engine accordingly; gone are the days of having to ‘re-jet’ the carb for particularly fine-tuning – the FI system does it all.

This, in theory, means that you could drive your typical car from here to the heights of Mt. Everest and then onwards to Timbuktu without having to change a thing, both in terms of environmental changes and petrol quality – the system will optimise the fuelling using short and long-term adaptive mapping.

Consistent fuel quality

All fuel sold within the UK is governed by national and international standards, and all petrol stations use the same base fuel, whether that’s at the largest supermarket petrol retailer (Tesco) or independent fuel retailer using ‘branded’ fuels – the base fuel comes from the same refineries.

Whilst it’s true that additives are used in all the fuel blends, including the ‘standard’ unleaded or diesel, these additives are an industry secret, but you can be sure that they’re all similarly … low-grade, or they’d come under the super fuel bracket, and advertised as such (with an increase in price to reflect the additives).

There is an argument for fuel going ‘stale’, in that it loses some of its volatility over time, but this really only happens when exposed to the atmosphere; the hygroscopic nature of fuel drawing in moisture from the air – a totally sealed container of fuel should last almost indefinitely. But this means that fuel tanks that are replenished more frequently should (in theory) be less likely to cause a problem.

Perceived value

Perhaps part of the problem is psychology; supermarkets are experts at taking branded products and making them their own – a premium breakfast cereal, for example, is no longer “Crunchy Super Nuggets” but “Nuggets of Super Crunch” – could it be that drivers feel supermarkets are doing the same with fuel?

The fact that they’re generally cheaper than the competition would help that thought process along; they’re paying less than the branded version, therefore the product is similar, but doesn’t quite live up to the same standard?

We’ve also heard reports of some supermarket chains occasionally buying their fuel from elsewhere in Europe, bringing it across by the tanker load. And whilst that could alleviate a supply issue, it’s doubtful that it could ever be financially viable to make it a long-term solution, and yet the fuel would still be covered under European regulations.

Actual difference

There is no doubting that some fuel consumers have had problems after filling up at a supermarket, but these problems are one-offs, not an everyday occurrence. Despite holding fewer petrol retailing sites, the supermarkets actually account for 45% of all fuel sales; when the figures are corrected for sites-vs-litres sold, they actually have the majority of sales.

Due to the nature of modern fuel-injection systems, it’s entirely possible that a vehicle could alter the fuelling strategy per tank of fuel, but under normal circumstances (assuming the fuel quality was typical), this would only be noticeable under extreme loads, not through typical driving.

The only way to give an absolute definitive answer would be through expensive and extensive testing, using a controlled-environment in a dynamometer test-cell, where all influencing factors could be controlled and repeated 100%. Owners claims that a vehicle loses performance, increases mpg or runs differently can really only be treated as hearsay – industry insiders will tell you that a ‘seat of the pants dyno’ will only really notice a 10% difference – nowhere near accurate enough to gauge the quality of fuel.

Do you think supermarket fuel is inferior to branded? Have you noticed a change in performance when filling up with either? Or are you just paying an added premium? Let us know in the comments.

2019 to be the most expensive year ever to own a car

The end of 2018 is drawing to a close and we’ve seen many changes within the motoring world, from learner drivers on the motorways to a new MOT. So what can we expect in 2019?

Although there are bound to be several unknown shocks and surprises to drivers over the next twelve months, here are a few of the main changes we can expect in the new year…

Emission mission

As mentioned in an earlier article, an Ultra Low Emission Zone (ULEZ) will be in place in central London from the 8th of April next year and will replace the T-Charge. Most vehicles, including older petrol cars and most diesel cars sold before certain dates, must meet stricter exhaust emission standards or drivers must pay a daily charge to drive these cars.

“It is clear that charging clean air zones have the greatest impact by bringing the majority of zones into compliance by 2021,” said a report by the Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs (DEFRA).

The Worldwide Harmonised Light Vehicle Test Procedure (WLTP)—the laboratory test to measure fuel consumption, emissions of pollutants, and CO2 from passenger cars—first applied to new cars in September of last year.

Before the WLTP, the New European Driving Cycle (NEDC) was the test used but, because of progression in technology and driving conditions, it had become outdated because the test based its values on a theoretical driving profile while the WLTP cycle uses real-driving data, collected from around the world and better shows typical driving behaviour.

From the 1st of January 2019, databases will show only the WLTP results for Fuel Consumption, yet the results for CO2 emissions will continue to be NEDC (or NEDC equivalent) figures until the 6th of April 2020.

Mike Hawes, Chief Executive Officer at Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), said of WLTP: “This is an opportunity to reassure consumers that their cars will achieve figures much closer to the official ones.”

Driving change

How driver licensing will work if you drive within the EU after the 29th of March 2019 (when the UK leaves the EU) will depend on a ‘deal or no-deal‘ situation, so if you wish to drive to an EU country soon, it might be best to go in the next couple of months.

The current situation is simple; you need only your UK driving licence to drive anywhere in the EU, for work or pleasure. Yet if there’s a ‘no-deal’ Brexit, the mutual recognition of driving licences between the UK and EU could end, which means drivers may need an International Driving Permit (IDP) to drive within the EU (which some countries outside the EU already require). If this happens, the International Driving Permit you will need to buy will depend on which EU country you plan to visit. Cyprus, Ireland, Malta, and Spain recognise the ‘1949 Geneva Convention on Road Traffic’ licence. The licence remains in force for 12 months. All other EU countries including Norway and Switzerland recognises the ‘1968 Vienna Convention on Road Traffic’ licence, which remains in force for three years.

Even if the UK makes a deal with the EU, the government has decided that from the 1st of February 2019, the AA and RAC may no longer issue IDPs, nor will mail order facilities exist to apply for them. Instead, around 2,500 Post Offices (instead of the current 89) will issue them.

Cough up

From the 1st of April, Vehicle Excise Duty (VED) for all cars, vans, and motorcycles will increase in line with RPI (one of the two main measures of inflation).

Most drivers of cars registered before 1 April 2017 will have to pay an extra £5 in standard rate VED for the year, meaning an annual bill of £145 for petrol and diesel cars and £135 for hybrids. Owners of older, high emission models will pay up to £15 extra. Buyers of new vehicles with CO2 emissions over 255g/km must pay an extra £65 on first-year car tax. The premium tax owners must pay for the first five years at the standard rate on cars with a list price of £40,000 or more has increased from £310 to £320. Owners of electric cars will still not have to pay VED charges.

Ministers said the increase in car tax in line with RPI would “ensure that VED receipts are maintained in real terms and that motorists continue to make a fair contribution to the public finances,”.

2019 also brings the following developments:

People with hidden disabilities will be eligible to apply for Blue Badges, Scotland will introduce a drug driving limit (which will involve roadside testing to allow police to check drivers’ levels of prescription and illegal drugs and prosecute where relevant), new electric and hybrid cars will have to come fitted with sound generators so that the vehicles make a noise when travelling at low speeds, and all new cars launched by Volvo from 2019 onwards will be pure electric or plug-in hybrid.

So, while we don’t yet know what the post-Brexit UK will look like, at least regarding driving it is clear there’s a firm focus, and that focus is on reducing emissions

Which of these changes do you support and which do you oppose? What changes to motoring has most affected you in 2018? Let us know in the comments.

Defrosting your vehicle incorrectly could leave you with a £60 fine

We’ve all seen those annoying drivers on a cold winter’s morning – scraping just enough ice from their screen to give them a ‘porthole’ for vision, but what you may not know is that anyone caught driving like that could face a £60 fine and three penalty points.

In fact, as winter rolls around again, it’s worth knowing that there are a few situations that could see you in hot water if you’re not aware of them – the act of ‘portholing’ is just one of them.

Partial vision

With police forces actively clamping down on drivers with poor vision, it was only a matter of time before the net widened to try and catch drivers that are too lazy to clear their windscreen properly before setting off.

Whilst a £60 fine and three penalty points may seem harsh for failing to clear the screen, the reality is that there’s no real difference between that and driving with poor eyesight, which carries a much stiffer penalty, it could possibly be argued that failing to clear a screen should carry a harsher penalty still.

While ‘portholing’ is a very defined term, what isn’t clear is just what that constitutes – how much of the screen should be clear? Common sense tells us that any significant obstruction to our view is dangerous, and that to take an extra few minutes to finish clearing the screen and windows is the sensible choice, but does the screen need clearing completely, or just the majority?
The Highway Code is very clear:

  • You must be able to see, so clear all snow and ice from all your windows
  • You must ensure that lights are clean and number plates are clearly visible and legible
  • Make sure that the mirrors are clear and the windows are demisted thoroughly
  • Remove all snow that might fall into the path of other road users

Engine idling

While it’s tempting to start your car and let the heat do the work for you, that in itself can be an offence if the vehicle is on a public road (as opposed to your driveway), which could result in a £20 fine.

Section 42 of the Road Traffic Act of 1988 and rule 123 of the Highway Code states that “you must not leave a vehicle engine running unnecessarily while that vehicle is stationary on a public road”. However, defining necessary or unnecessary could potentially be a defence; it was necessary to demist or de-ice the windscreen. It would take a particularly zealous police officer to book you for the offence.

Perhaps of more importance is the fact that any insurance company would likely refuse a claim if your car was stolen under the same circumstance; leaving your car to de-ice with the engine running unattended would likely be seen as a failure in duty of care – that you’ll take reasonable precaution to keep your vehicle safe.

Driving in winter

Driving in winter presents a host of new challenges that we in the UK aren’t specifically taught how to deal with, and no amount of ‘how-to’ articles will prepare you for the reality of driving in snow and ice. Best advice (when the weather is particularly inclement) is to only drive when completely necessary.

Should you find yourself in the position of having to make a journey, experts say that you should have a Winter Survival Kit prepared. This may seem extreme, especially if you’re confident of your abilities, but many times, drivers have found themselves stuck due to other motorists.
Your winter kit should include:

  • Any personal medications
  • Fully charged mobile phone with in-car charger
  • First aid kit
  • Road atlas (in case of detours and road closures)
  • Blanket
  • Shovel
  • Ice scraper and de-icer
  • Torch with spare batteries
  • Snacks (in extremis!)
  • Extra screenwash

Shop bought de-icing solution is readily available through supermarkets, garages and convenience stores, but should you wish to make yourself a greener remedy, or in case you run out of pre-packaged, you can make a simple de-icing solution using three parts white vinegar to one part water.

Preparing your car

Just as you should carry a winter survival kit, you should ensure that your car is fully-prepared for winter: check that you have the right amount of anti-freeze, that your tyres are in good condition, windscreen wipers are smear-free and that your screenwash is topped off. This won’t stop you getting into trouble, but it will help to keep you out of it.

Do you have any tips for winter driving? Should drivers that ‘porthole’ face a stiffer fine? What’s in your winter survival kit? Let us know in the comments.

Christmas journey hotspots revealed with up to three hour delays

Traffic experts predict that motorway journeys will take up to three hours longer than normal this Christmas, with the worst delays most likely for those heading north and it’s not just people visiting family and friends for Christmas who will add to the road congestion—delivery drivers, last-minute shoppers and those travelling to and from work may get caught in the traffic.

With both rail engineering works and strikes occurring, traffic authorities expect chaos over the holiday period after determining Britain’s worst areas for traffic jams.

Congestion suggestion

With 20 million festive trips expected this week, motorists are being urged to expect significant congestion on major roads such as the M25, M6, and M40. Those driving on the M6 between Staffordshire and Greater Manchester on Thursday could get caught by delays of up to 181 minutes and, on Friday, using the M40 south from the M42 in Warwickshire to J8A at Oxford may add an extra 110 minutes to the journey.

The worst days for congestion, according to research by the RAC and the transportation data analysis company Inrix, will be Thursday and Friday, with between 2.5 million and 2.8 million vehicles travelling across Britain.

To make sure over 97% of roads are available for Christmas travel, Highways England intends to lessen disruption by removing over 200 miles of roadworks from motorways and major A-roads by Friday at 6.00 a.m. but large-scale roadworks will continue on the M1 between Milton Keynes and Northampton and on the M6 near Coventry and between Stafford and Crewe.

Planned roadworks

M5 J17-J18 (near Avonmouth) 4.2 miles
M62 J10-12 (near Manchester) 10.3 miles
M6 J16-19 (near Crewe) 20 miles
M6 J13-15 (near Stafford) 20 miles
M1 J13-15 (near Milton Keynes) 14.9 miles
M23 J8-10 (near Crawley) 11.5 miles
M20 J2-7 (near Maidstone) 15.9 miles
M6 J2-4 (near Coventry) 13.6 miles
M4 J3-12 (near Wokingham) 20 miles
A14 J31-28 (near Cambridge) 11 miles
M20 J10 (near Ashford) 1.6 miles
A1(M) J15-A1 Buckden (near Huntingdon) 6 miles
A14 J32-34 (near Cambridge) 5 miles
M20 J9-8 (near Ashford) 6 miles
M50 J1-2 (near Worcestershire) 3.8 miles
M6 J2-4 (near Coventry) 14.3 miles
M6 J13-15 (near Stafford) 13 miles
M6 J8-M5 J3 (near Birmingham) 7 miles
M5 J5-4A (near Bromsgrove) 2.6 miles
A1(M) J59-60 (near Newton Aycliffe/Coatham Mundeville) 3.5 miles.

The worst times to travel on Britain’s roads on the lead-up to Christmas

December 19th 3-6.30 p.m.
December 20th 11.30 a.m.-6.30 p.m.
December 21st 11.30 a.m.-6.00 p.m.
December 22nd 10.30 a.m.-4.00 p.m.
December 23rd 4.00 p.m.-6.30 p.m.
December 24th 11.00 a.m.-1.00 p.m.

To avoid the worst queues, drivers are being encouraged to use alternative routes or delay their journeys until 8.00 p.m.

Off the rails

Inrix data scientist Joshua Kidd, advises motorists to explore different routes to their destinations and to use the latest technology for real-time updates.

Kidd said: “Our data shows that compared to a normal day, Thursday, December 20th, will see the biggest increase in cars on the road.

“With most drivers setting out mid-morning, traffic will become heavier over the course of the afternoon and stay congested into the evening.”

Train passengers may not fare any better. Tens of thousands of passengers could have their travel disrupted over the Christmas break by Network Rail’s 330 planned engineering works.

Andy Thomas, Managing Director of Strategic Operations at Network Rail, said:

“Most of the network is open for business as usual but some routes are heavily affected, so we strongly advise to plan ahead.

“A huge investment programme will deliver more reliable infrastructure and improved services for passengers.”

Strikes continue to affect the rail network and on Saturday, Northern Rail employees walked out at 7.00 a.m., as part of their disagreement over driver-only trains. Further strikes will happen each Saturday this month.

South Western Railway has strikes planned for the 22nd, 27th, and 31st of December. London Underground Central Line plus Waterloo and City Line plan to strike on December the 21st and 22nd and there will be strike action on the Bakerloo Line on December the 26th.

Planes, trains, and automobiles

With airline strikes looking set to carry on well into 2019, travel delays are affecting most modes of transport.

Four hundred of the 965 Virgin Atlantic pilots have arranged up to three lots of four-day strikes to occur over the Christmas and New Year holiday because of the airline’s unwillingness to include them in discussions over changes to pay and benefits.

But if your car remains your transport of choice this Christmas, and you have plans to drive anywhere further than your local area, give your vehicle a once-over to make sure it’s in good repair and not liable to break down, leaving you stranded.

Check your fuel, coolant, oil, and screenwash levels and examine the condition and pressure of your tyres. Make sure you also check the forecast before you travel. By knowing the forecast in advance, you can prepare for any hazardous weather and reach your destination safe and ready to put on that party hat and sip your mulled wine.

Are you planning to brave the roads in the next week or two, or do you have a flight or train booked? Will news of travel chaos make you stay home, instead? Let us know in the comments.

Some new diesel cars emit 11 times the legal pollution limit

Renault and Nissan have come out worst in a new study done by the team behind one aspect of the VW scandal. They also revealed that the average new diesel car emits more than six times the legal limit of nitrous oxide (NOx) when tested in multiple real-world conditions.

The FIA Foundation and the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT), who helped to reveal the VW scandal, released new information this week showing that in real world tests most manufacturers come out way above the maximum limit.

Worst performing manafacturers

Renault and Nissan came out worst performing, after signing a strategic partnership deal in 1999, meaning that their diesel engines are the same. The legal limit for NOx is 0.08mg/km, and Renault Nissan averaged over 12 times that, way above 0.8 mg km.

The worst offenders from these brands included the Renault Kaptur, and the Nissan Juke and Qashqai, as identified through previous research.

Following Renault Nissan came Fiat Chrysler with a figure just under 0.8mg/km. Hyuandi entered in third place, with Toyota and Ford taking fourth and fifth respectively. The VW group actually fell near the bottom of the list, showing their commitment to change since the dieselgate scandal of 2015, with Jaguar Land Rover taking the bottom spot and having the cleanest engines.

Euro 6 compliance

It was found that none of the Euro 6 models available on the market actually reached the mark in the rigorous tests done by The Real Urban Emissions (TRUE) initiative and less than 30% of diesel cars tested on the roads were actually Euro 6 compliant meaning that if the ULEZ zones were measured on TRUE results, no cars could enter the centre of London.

Euro 6 compliance is legal on all new models bought on cars, and from September 2019 any car registrations must be Euro 6 compliant. It was introduced in 2015, and since then any mass produced cars have had to be compliant.

The Euro 6 compliance level aims to reduce the amount of NOx, particulate matter and a few other harmful chemicals. Every year 40,000 people die for reasons related to pollution, and so each new iteration of EU compliance aims to lower these numbers further and further.

The new ULEZ zones coming in to force early next year in London means that any car that doesn’t meet the Euro 6 standards will have to pay an extra £10 on top of any other congestion charges. Those living in Islington with a diesel car will also face an annual surcharge of £99.65 which other London councils may adopt later in 2019.

Euro compliance testing is done in a controlled environment overlooked by Government agencies, meaning that real-world tests are more likely to capture data that is more representative of drivers.

TRUE testing methods

The TRUE test used remote sensing technology, which shot infrared and ultraviolet beams through the pollution emitted by each car as well as the type of car, whether it was a fleet or commercial vehicle and what Euro compliance rating it was.

The TRUE rating is a three-colour scheme, in which green = meets pollutant limits, red = far exceeds limits and yellow = in between and no diesel car tested during this period, including Euro 6 compliant vehicles, had a green rating. The TRUE rating takes the Euro 6 data but tests cars in a real-world test.

The testing was completed over a five-month sampling campaign, November 2017 to March 2018, and was active in nine spots across London. More than 100,000 vehicles were tested, and due to the real world nature of the data, it was more authentic and tangible than the laboratory testing done for Euro compliance.

It must be said that the new Worldwide Harmonised Light Vehicle Test Procedure (WLTP) procedures are more reflective of real-world driving habits. However, due to the controlled environment, they can never be entirely accurate in comparison to a test done on vehicles that have been driven for a while on actual roads, gone over potholes and generally had a bumpy ride.

Taxis pollute the most

The study also found that the most common black cab models pollute up to 30 times more NOx than a personal car of the same age. Euro 5 black taxi cabs, some of the newer models and technically more compliant with stricter emissions test, are producing at least 50% more NOX than of the Euro 3 or Euro 4 models. The average NOX emissions from cabs per KG of fuel used have actually seen a measurable increase in the past five years.

When compared to buses, this is shocking as there has been a 65% decrease in emissions by buses over the last five years, and due to the number of people, a bus can hold it means they are naturally less polluting anyway when compared to the pollutant per person.

The Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, said: “London’s air is so toxic it damages children’s lung growth, causes thousands of premature deaths and increases the risk of asthma and dementia. We know that dirty vehicles are responsible for half of our NOX air pollution – and this new data from TRUE and ICCT reveals the stark health impact of polluting diesel taxis on our streets. It also underlines why we at City Hall have been delivering hard-hitting, urgently needed policies to tackle vehicle emissions, such as cleaning up the bus fleet and introducing the world’s first Ultra Low Emission Zone, 24 hours, seven days a week in central London from next April. We all need to play a part in cleaning up our toxic air and while I am encouraged that almost 1,000 taxi drivers have switched to cleaner electric taxis, this damning report really highlights why we need to accelerate their uptake.”

What do you think should be done to help reduce emissions? Do you know how much your car actually pollutes? Let us know below

ULEZ zones will cost some drivers up to £4,500 a year

A new pollution charge, expected to affect one million people across large areas of London from next year, is causing anger and worry for motorists; directed at the man behind the new tax—London Mayor, Sadiq Khan.

From the 8th of April 2019, an Ultra Low Emission Zone (ULEZ) will run in Central London and — from the 25th of October 2021 — will expand to include the inner London area surrounded by the North and South Circular roads, meaning vehicles driving inside the area must satisfy new, stricter emissions standards; or pay a daily charge of £12.50.

£1.5 billion a year

The government will enforce the ULEZ based on the declared emissions of the vehicle rather than the age but, cars liable to pay the ULEZ charge are petrol cars registered before 2005 and diesel cars registered before September 2015.

Transport for London encourages motorists to drive a vehicle that satisfies the new emissions standards instead of paying the charge, yet they will receive up to £1.5billion a year from the £12.50 daily charge—six times more than the £230million collected from the Congestion Charge alone.

The charge—which will replace the T-Charge and will run 24 hours a day, 365 days a year—will also affect owners of vans, motorcycles, and larger vehicles, including ambulances and fire engines. The ULEZ charge will be on top of the Congestion Charge and Low Emission Zone (LEZ) charge, and there won’t be any discount for residents.

Transport for London’s ‘integrated impact assessment’ predicts that around 565,000 cars and 276,000 vans registered in the capital will be liable for the ULEZ charge. Add HGVs and minicabs to the total number of vehicles and that number could increase to one million; unless an online petition, calling for a halt to the ULEZ expansion, succeeds.

‘Filthy and shameful’

The ULEZ charge came into being after studies showed that the air pollution caused by motor vehicles in the UK costs the NHS £6 billion a year, with a £650 million bill in London.

Officials believe the expanded ULEZ zone will mean reduced pollution across the whole of London and, by 2021, over 100,000 Londoners will no longer live in areas with illegal levels of nitrogen dioxide and particulate matter.

In June of this year, coinciding with the start of an investigation into how air pollution reduction strategies affect the health of children in London and Luton, Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan said:

“Tackling London’s lethal air and safeguarding the health of Londoners requires bold action.

“Air pollution is a national health crisis and I refuse to stand back as thousands of Londoners breathe in air so filthy that it shortens our life expectancy, harms our lungs and worsens chronic illness.

“I promised hard-hitting measures to tackle our shameful air pollution and today City Hall is confirming the next stage of our plans to expand the ultra-low emission zone up to the North and South Circular roads.”

Yet expanding the ULEZ into residential areas within the North and South Circular causes concern for RAC Public Affairs Manager, Nicholas Lyes, who said:

“Residents and small businesses within this area now have just three years to become compliant with the Mayor’s emission standards.

“This means many now face the daunting challenge of having to spend substantial amounts of money on a newer vehicle or face a daily charge of £12.50 to use their vehicles from October 2021.

“Motorists currently have no quick and easy means of knowing for certain what Euro emissions standard their car, or one they are looking to buy, meets–so it is absolutely vital that a central database is developed as quickly as possible.”

Mr Lyes also said the ULEZ expansion will most affect those from low-income backgrounds and those who work in roles such as hospitality and depend on using a car at night when public transport is not always available.

Coming to an area near you?

To see if the £12.50 charge will apply to your vehicle, use the ULEZ vehicle checker. If you’re caught driving through the zone without paying the daily fee, and with a vehicle not satisfying the emission standards, you’ll face a penalty charge of £160 (reduced to £80 if paid within 14 days).

If you’re looking for ways to avoid the ULEZ charge, officials suggest that, instead of paying the charge, people either walk, cycle, use public transport, rent a ULEZ-exempt vehicle from a car club, fit emission-reducing technology to their cars, buy an electric vehicle; or one that meets the ULEZ emissions standard.

Despite ULEZ only affecting London, there’s nothing to stop something similar happening across the UK. In fact, some councils are already planning their own emissions-based charges. With this in mind, cars not meeting the stricter emissions standards may experience a large drop in resale value.

Across the water, our French cousins—donned in the yellow vests that all cars in France must carry by law—have been rioting against fuel tax increases. With Gareth Bacon, leader of the Conservative Party in the London Assembly likening ULEZ to the poll tax, could he be right when he inferred that the mayor might experience his own ‘yellow vest’ moment once people realise they’ll pay up to £4,000 more each year to drive their cars?

What’s your view on the ULEZ? With the scandalous air pollution levels; do you welcome the charge? Will the ULEZ affect you? Share your views in the comments.

Could a nationwide ban on pavement parking happen?

For some drivers, parking on the pavement comes as second nature. For others, it’s a complete nuisance. Now new research reveals the UK has a near perfect 50/50 split on the issue. Half the country thinks that we should ban pavement parking while the other thinks we should allow it.

Research from YourParkingSpace shows that 1 in 10 drivers park daily on the pavement which equates to about 3 million a day leading to the government potentially planning to act and create a nationwide ban on pavement parking.

Change in law

Back in 1974 when the Road Traffic Act was created, pavement parking was made illegal and never enacted. This was mainly due to high contention from multiple organisations and pressure from citizens; it was ultimately repealed in 1991 and pavement parking, aside from a few spots namely London and other major cities.

Now over 40 years later, the Scottish Government has under their new Transport bill allowed local governments to fine for pavement parking. Along with some areas in London, at the minute these are the only places one cannot park on the pavement.

However, new research from YourParkingSpace hints at a nationwide ban on pavement parking that could be enacted by the Government, something which divides the country fairly evenly.

Blocking pavement space

Pavement parking can cause major issues for those who are disabled, have a pram or are blind. The charity Guide Dogs for the Blind says that 90% of their members tell them, above everything else, pavement parking is the biggest physical obstacle they face in the street.

On the other hand, organisations such as the Alliance of British Drivers (ABD) have come forward to say that a blanket ban would not be successful, but instead a middle ground of having a minimum pavement width and assigned parking spots on the pavement.

In a slightly different light, people such as postal or delivery services, meal on wheels drivers and so many more could be easily affected by this. Their need for a quick spot to park, drop an item and leave shortly after is where a blanket ban could get confusing. Similarly, for emergency services, they need the closest spot possible to the incident and if a pavement ban is in place this could make it more complicated for the above.

The ABD released a statement about the topic, along with their suggestion “…We suggest that all that is needed on most residential streets is a minimum one-metre walkway. That’s equivalent to a double buggy or a mobility scooter. We don’t object to councils dealing with those who seriously obstruct. Therefore we oppose default blanket bans, but should it come about, urge the “middle ground” solution outlined above – with a statutory requirement for councils to provide pavement parking provision on any road where it is requested and/or achievable while still allowing that minimum one-metre width for pedestrian passage.”

Nationwide split

Not unlike other topics, the UK is completely split on pavement parking with half the country thinking it should be allowed and the other half finding it completely awful and thinking a harsh ban would be good for us all.

Harrison Woods, managing director at YourParkingSpace.co.uk, said: “Parking splits opinion, none more so than the issue of parking on pavements. In many parts of the UK, it is still allowed, but this could soon change as the Government reviews the issue. The outcome could affect the parking habits of millions.”

He added: “Parking on a pavement can cause real inconvenience to pedestrians, but some motorists feel it can be their only option. Our advice, where pavement parking is currently allowed, is always to make sure there’s plenty of room for pedestrians to get past and to be aware of people with a pushchair, with a visual impairment or in a wheelchair.”

One in ten drivers parks on the pavement daily, with another one in twenty parking on the pavement weekly. On top of that one in five drivers have admitted to parking on the pavement at some point in their driving life, although most cannot recall when. With the country completely split, any move from the government either way could prove highly contentious, and so this must be balanced well in order to meet the needs of those who struggle to manoeuvre pavements and help reduce the impact this could have on congestion.

What do you think about pavement parking? Would you be for or against a strict ban? Let us know in the comments below

Speed cameras now catch drivers in 0.03 seconds

The number of people each month getting caught for speeding seems to be increasing. And one of the reasons for this jump is the tech being used to catch drivers. The latest LTI Laser 2020 speed camera can catch a driver in just 0.03 seconds, working from up to 1,000 metres away and even has infrared to work at night.

High tech trap

The modern speed camera is a high-tech trap to catch drivers breaking the rules. The cameras can operate in any conditions and have a number of special filters that enable them to work in poor weather. The camera works in just 0.03 seconds so that by the time you have come around the corner and spotted the van, it has already clocked your speed and your details. And you’re still not safe from them at night as they have infrared facilities to allow them to take shots in the dark.

Details of the workings of these high-tech cameras came from an interview with a Camera Technician Enforcement Officer in the Grimsby Telegraph and gave a great deal of insight into the process of recording speeds. Known only as ‘Tommy’ the officer said that he would prefer not to catch anyone and that there is no quota regarding the number of people they must catch per day or even week.

Busy work

During the interview, the camera was located on the A18 Barton Street in Grimsby and quickly caught a speeder who was doing 62mph in a 50mph zone. A change of location to the Laceby roundabout nearby saw another two people caught, one doing 59mph and the other 67mph. The camera does have a tolerance of 10% plus 2mph, but all of these drivers will be receiving a fine and points.

We all hate getting caught speeding and some people take a more active role in trying to avoid the fine. One man tried to reach through the window to grab the speed camera – Tommy said that he always keeps the doors locked.

During the three hours that the reporter was with the officer, there were a total of 19 drivers who were caught exceeding the speed limit by enough to get them a fine and points and all of the footage is stored securely so there’s no chance that it can be altered.

Average speed cameras

While vans are the visible sign of speed enforcement, another type of camera is becoming increasingly popular around the UK – the average speed camera. One of the roads to recently receive their cameras is the A55 in North Wales. The cameras were put in place when drivers were found to be frequently breaking the 70mph limit on the road.

The cameras between J30 and J28 are temporary at the moment but there is talk that they could be permanent. They are one of two sets of such cameras in the region with the other on the A541 in Flintshire. They show the new face of speed enforcement that means you don’t need an enforcement officer constantly operating them.

These cameras are set 200 metres apart along a stretch of road at regular intervals in a managed speed control zone. Cameras have a date and time stamp as well as automatic number plate recognition (ANPR) which allows the computer to work out your average speed between the cameras. This then triggers the automatic fine to be sent. People think they are limited to working through the day but like the mobile speed cameras, they are also fitted with filters to work in all weathers and work at night with infrared tech built in.

Digital cameras on the street

The final other major development in speed cameras is the use of digital speed cameras on streets around the country. The new cameras have recently been added to streets around Swansea and replace the former systems which still used a 35mm ‘wet’ film. The problem with this system was that the film would run out and this would see an increase in speeding in the area.

The new cameras will be used to send out Fixed Penalty Notices (FPN) for minor offences while larger offences can lead to a prosecution. If you break the speed limit by more than 30mph and are caught by the cameras, you could face being disqualified from driving. The switch to digital speed cameras is being rolled out across the country.

Spectre of speeding

None of us like to drive along a road and see a speed camera van with its tell-tale camera facing towards us. And there’s nothing worse than receiving that letter through the post telling us we have been caught. With new technology improving the reliability and sensitivity of the cameras, it does seem that the only way to be sure to avoid a fine is to avoid speeding – full stop.

Have you been caught by a speed camera in a van? Did you know how quick a speed camera could catch you? We’d love to hear your experiences!